NOAA predicts a warmer, wetter California winter due to weak El Niño

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

The cold may have returned this week, but take heart New Englanders: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says a mild winter could be in store for the region and much of the country this year.

Winter looks wet and especially mild for much of the country, thanks to a weak El Nino brewing, USA meteorologists said. Meteorologists predict there's a 75 percent chance it'll be around this winter.

Historically, El Nino events have boosted precipitation amounts across the South and into the Mid-Atlantic and sometimes snowfall as well.

"The last four winters had all been very warm actually; nearly coast-to-coast", Halper told WWJ's Michael Cohen.

There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out.

"That does not mean that below average temperatures can not occur", Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement.

The Southeast, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic can go any which way on temperature, Halpert said.

In fact, Halper said, nowhere in the expected to be colder than normal; continuing a national trend over the past several years.

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Everywhere else across the nation is favored to be warmer than normal.

No place in the expected to experience cooler-than-average temperatures, according to NOAA.

EL NINO:Halpert said the biggest factor in the forecast is a likely El Nino, the natural warming of parts of the central Pacific Ocean that influences weather worldwide.

"NOAA" s Winter 2018 temperature outlook for the United States. "Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are still likely to occur", the agency stated. Spring arrived weeks ahead of time, and Chicago basked in record 70-degree warmth in February.

ME has strong odds to be warmer than usual this winter.

Halpert said the track record of winter outlooks is better than that of outlooks for other seasons, or about 40 percent better than the flip of a coin - good enough for people to be able to utilize the outlooks.

Northern Florida and southern Georgia could see the wettest conditions this winter, according to NOAA, followed by central and Eastern North Carolina, much of South Carolina, Texas and New Mexico, northern Georgia and far southern parts of Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas.

NOAA's winter forecast comes as the mercury is finally beginning to dip across most of the country after a summer that lasted well into October in the eastern United States, with temperatures into the 80s and even 90s.

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