Nicondra: Tropical Storm In the Gulf of Mexico Likely

Potential Tropical Cyclone Could Hit The US This Week

Michael could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday, the NHC said in a Sunday afternoon advisory.

At 11 p.m. EDT Sunday, Michael was about 105 miles (165 kilometers) east-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico.

In a Facebook post Monday, the Wakulla County Sheriff's Office said no shelters would be open because Wakulla County shelters were rated safe only for hurricanes with top sustained winds below 111 miles per hour (178 kph).

National Weather Service The recently upgraded tropical storm is forecast to become a hurricane before making landfall along Florida's Panhandle.

Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall on the Florida Panhandle as a powerful Category 4 hurricane.

"Michael could produce three life-threatening hazards along portions of the northeastern Gulf Coast: storm surge, heavy rainfall and hurricane-force winds", according to the hurricane center. Scott said the storm could turn into a Category 2 hurricane by the time it makes landfall midweek.

Governor Rick Scott ordered a state of emergency Sunday for 26 counties in the Panhandle and Big Bend area, which will free up resources for storm preparation and recovery efforts.

Scott warned that Michael could reach land as a Category 2 hurricane, with winds in excess of 100 miles per hour.

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Based on the current projections for its path and timing, parts of the tristate area could be affected, especially by the storm's winds.

"In fact, almost every piece of intensity guidance brings the cyclone to hurricane strength before it reaches land, including the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET global models, which all show significant deepening of the central pressure", National Hurricance Center forecaster Robbie Berg wrote in a morning discussion of the storm.

The next tropical storm name on the hurricane center's list is Michael.

The cross-track spread among the spaghetti models has decreased since yesterday, but there continues to be differences in how fast Michael moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical storm warnings were posted for western Cuba and Mexico's northeast Yucatan Peninsula, including Cancun, weather.com reported. Tropical storm to hurricane force winds are less than four days away from the United States.

The fact there have been these events in recent weeks and months does mean that for some global re/insurance players, aggregate and attritional losses have been mounting, meaning that any sizeable losses from hurricane Michael could see reinsurance and retrocessional arrangements quickly coming into play.

By 11 a.m. Monday, Michael's top sustained winds were around 75 miles per hour (120 kph).

The north Florida city of Tallahassee on Sunday opened two locations where residents could get sandbags in case of flooding.

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